High · today · consensus
76.9°
11 models land between 74° and 79°
Raw multi-model consensus — the calibrated Zavit layer takes over when a run publishes.
Resolving the market view
Zavit WeatherLIVE · 09:45:56
Weather
New York · Light rain 70° · RealFeel 69°
Sources vs. the station
What the public forecasts say today, against what the settlement station has actually recorded.
Running high70.0°
Running low66.9°
Latest reading70.0°
Observations18
| Source | Forecast high | Forecast low | Actual so far | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 77° | 67° | 70.0° | +7.0 |
| Open-Meteo | 78° | 67° | 70.0° | +7.9 |
| AccuWeather | 77° | 66° | 70.0° | +7.0 |
Sources cluster 77–78° and sit +7.3° against the station's running high — the anchor retail traders inherit. Zavit corrects per-station.
“A couple of thundershowers; cloudy this morning, then a blend of sun and clouds this afternoon” — AccuWeather
Settlement station KNYC · Central Park · NWS OKX · additional sources appear as their keys are configured.
What the models say
Today's high and tomorrow's across the numerical models — the horizon weather contracts settle on.
Models reporting11
Consensus mean76.9°
Spread4.8°
Std dev1.3°
AgreementModerate
AccuWeather today77°
Tomorrow: μ 84.5° · σ 1.9° across 11 models · AccuWeather 83°.
Path to the high
When the high hits — New York's hourly trajectory for today and tomorrow, from AccuWeather.
peak 83.0° · 3 PM
Zavit's call
Until a calibrated run publishes for New York, the multi-model consensus is the working number.
Where to look next
Cities ranked by live venue volume, or by how hard the models disagree.
Austin
KAUS
Chicago
KMDW
Denver
KDEN
Los Angeles
KLAX
Miami
KMIA
New York
KNYC
Kalshi venue volume joins these rankings after sign-in — model volatility is live for everyone.